John Rubino's Substack

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What Blows Up Next? Commercial Real Estate

And then the regional banks again ...

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John Rubino
Apr 03, 2023
∙ Paid

Commercial real estate — i.e., America’s $20 trillion of office buildings, warehouses, strip malls, and apartments — is all about financing. The lower the interest rate, the easier it is to justify marginal projects toward the end of a business cycle when only cheap money gets the deal done. That’s why the sector typically booms late and then drops into…

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