There’s a debate in the comments section here about whether Americans have gotten suddenly dumber, leading them to elect populist presidents and refuse vaccines. I started to weigh in but quickly realized that the story is broader and deeper than just vaccines and Donald Trump.
So here’s some context:
Starting in the 1960s, the US embraced a 3,000-year-old idea from Plato’s Republic, in which the ideal government would be run by the best possible person — a “philosopher king” who was both wise and good. In modern terms, an expert.
Starting with John Kennedy’s celebration of artistic and scientific excellence in the White House and continuing through the Vietnam War’s “best and brightest” leadership, we invented what later came to be called the “Ph.D. standard” in which people with advanced degrees from prestigious schools and records of success in a given field were put in charge of big parts of the government and economy — on the assumption that they were smart enough to actively manage things like financial markets and wars.
They failed miserably, screwing up everything they touched and leaving us with a corrupt, indebted world one itchy trigger finger away from nuclear armageddon. Or, seen through a different lens, they efficiently served their (Ivy League educated, highly credentialed) class by enriching the 99% while impoverishing what was once the middle class.
Specifically:
Monetary policy. Prior to 1971, the world was on a version of the gold standard that, without getting bogged down in the details, limited the amount of currency countries could create, thereby restraining governments’ more idiotically expensive impulses.
Then governments decided they could do a better job of managing their currencies than could an inert, arbitrary, barbarous rock. So they broke the link with gold and handed monetary policy to a generation of economists who, being brilliant and accomplished, would manage the world’s finances sagaciously, raising and lowering interest rates and the money supply just enough to produce steady non-inflationary growth, basically forever.
The result? The dollar’s purchasing power plunged while debt at every level of every major country soared. The amplitude of booms and busts increased to the point where the next bust might be fatal.
The Federal Reserve’s economists couldn’t have done worse if they were blind monkeys pulling random levers to get treats. Or, looking through that other lens, they served their class brilliantly by using artificially-low interest rates and various other forms of corruption to enrich banks and corporations, such that Wall Street now owns the world and the average person can’t afford to buy a house. Either way, they emphatically did not achieve the promised high-growth, low-inflation Nirvana.
Globalization. In the1980s and 1990s, we handed off trade policy to a different group of economists and other specialists who cut free trade deals with every country in sight, apparently unaware that American workers couldn’t compete with their $1-an-hour Chinese counterparts. The experts promised that free trade would benefit everyone by raising efficiency and lowering prices. What it actually did was crush millions of formerly unionized workers while enriching the multinationals that moved US factories to China for the (highly profitable) cheap labor.
The past two decades have seen a collapse in US living standards, political turmoil as a growing number of voters choose candidates who promise to tear the old system out by the roots, and the implosion of the old globalized world before anything concrete evolves to replace it. Expect a decade of inflation and supply chain chaos as the work of the globalist trade experts is swept away.
War and foreign policy. Instead of learning from the failure of the Vietnam War, U.S. foreign policy has become even more erratic and corrupt as each new generation of experts has blundered around the world (especially the Middle East) breaking things and killing innocents, making exponentially more enemies, and lying about all kinds of war crimes and management abuses.
Now the Pentagon/State Department Russia/China experts have decided that it’s time for a two-front World War III against those other two nuclear powers. Who gains from this? No one, except the arms makers and their affiliated politicians.
Public health. Three short years ago most Americans considered the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), the National Institutes of Health (NIH), and the rest of the public health establishment to be an exception to the growing sense that most experts were incompetent and/or corrupt.
But during the pandemic, the health establishment turned out to be if anything worse than the Fed’s economists or the Pentagon’s chicken hawks. They locked down schools unnecessarily, destroyed thousands of small businesses, and coerced young people into taking experimental vaccines that later turned out to be unnecessary. They contradicted each other in public and apparently lied about things like gain-of-function research and natural immunity. Some typical headlines:
How Fauci Fooled America (Newsweek)
COVID-19, lies and Statistics: Corruption and the pandemic (Phys.org)
Fauci, Weingarten’s shameful ‘don’t blame us’ lies (NY Post)
Pfizer revenue and profits soar on its Covid vaccine business
Now people who once thought doctors could be trusted and vaccines were generally a good thing are questioning those beliefs. And until convinced otherwise, they’re not vaccinating their kids. Is that a public health problem? Maybe, but it’s also completely understandable after two years of pandemic chaos.
The (philosopher) king is dying
We can debate whether the people running America’s big systems are incompetent morons or brilliant soldiers in the war for super-rich supremacy. But either way, they’re not to be trusted.
It took five decades, thousands of lives, and trillions of dollars, but the idea of the philosopher king is finally dying. Americans did not get dumber. They learned from their experience and adjusted their attitudes accordingly. They’re buying gold because they don’t trust the Fed. They’re planting gardens because they don’t trust Big Food. They’re researching vaccines and accepting only those with proven (not experimental or fictitious) safety and efficacy. They’re voting for candidates who promise to control immigration, bring back factory jobs, avoid foreign wars, and eliminate medical coercion.
If only our experts had the same good sense and flexibility.
John, you've covered all the bases. Reagan said one generation away .........
Now one election away from....? Well reasoned, thanks John
The main flaw in Plato’s Republican form of government is it leaves unspecified how the “philosopher kings” (AKA experts) are to be chosen. Who are to decide who are the best and wisest people? Other experts? Of course, there is also the question of whether or not centralized control of any system is ever optimal or even sustainable.
The authors of the US Constitution tried to hedge both issues by both limiting the scope and power of centralized government, and requiring each branch of government to execute its own Constitutionally defined responsibilities, all other tasks left to the “the people” in the form of States or individuals.
That hasn’t happened starting roughly with Pres. Wodrow Wilson. In his efforts to get around that Constitutional framework - and because of Progressivisms' belief in materialism and elitism - “agencies” (aka bureaucracies) were to be formed by Congress so that their responsibilities could be delegated away and thus not be held accountable by the People. Unelected - and thus unaccountable - bureaucrats (aka experts) would make the policy decisions instead of Congressmen. We saw that operate during the covid scam, though there are innumerable other examples. The WHO, CDC, NIH, and many other agencies - some of which were not even controlled by Congress - were allowed to dictate policy, yet were unaccountable - and still are.
In larger terms, the idea that centralized control is effective is based upon the reliance of the physically focused ego. The ego feels like it needs to control its environment and does not trust subconscious spontaneity. The idea of Adam Smith’s “invisible hand” as a metaphor for the decisions and choices of free market activity is a are exception, and its efficiency, stability, and benefits are manifest when allowed to operate. Unfortunately, a non-centralized system like that is currently more the exception than the rule.