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Recession Watch: Brutal Job Market

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John Rubino
Sep 14, 2025
∙ Paid

It seems that (surprise!) the US government has been systematically overstating job growth and then (when no one was looking) revising the numbers down to much lower, more ominous levels. The following chart shows the size and consistency of those revisions, resulting in over a million fewer jobs than initially reported.

And it’s still happening. In Jun…

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