Recession Watch: 10 "Hard Landing" Charts

Negative growth by year-end, the Fed back to easing by early 2024

It’s disconcertingly quiet out there. The local/regional bank near-death experience is firmly in the rearview mirror. Most Americans still have jobs. And the debt limit pseudo crisis is in its final inning and — if history is any guide — will be resolved soon.

So why does it seem like we’re tipping into a recession, or something much worse? The general …